25^th Oct 2024

Landlords are currently extremely wary of investing in new properties ahead of potential Capital Gains Tax rate hikes and new EPC regulations.

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A mortgage intermediary platform, has overseen over £24 billion in mortgage volume so far this year, however analysis of its transactions shows that landlords are examining their rental portfolios and considering their liquidity in anticipation of potential new CGT reforms. 

The data reveals that owners leveraged more against their properties in September than at any other time this year, peaking at almost 72% Loan To Value. 

While some may be taking on more debt, the  also found that other owners are rethinking their investments, with the volume of BTL purchases and mortgages not proceeding due to the landlord’s decision nearing 10%. 

Further analysis of the buy to let (BTL) mortgage market found that :

• The average LTV for BTL purchase cases has risen 2.5% in a year, hitting a peak of 71.75% in Sep 2024. This suggested that borrowers are taking on larger loans relative to the property value to either leverage more debt, using smaller deposits or are responding to lower mortgage rates by financing more of their purchases;

• The volume of BTL purchase and remortgage cases not proceeding has steadily increased in 2024, seeing a huge leap from of 6% in August to 10.5% in September;

• The percentage of BTL applications abandoned due to the client choosing not to proceed for business reasons has shot from 1.2% to 8% in the last three months, showing that landlords are rethinking how their property portfolios;

• 4.9% of all new  mortgage applications were Buy-To-Let purchases in September 2024, down from nearly 6% a year prior. This decline indicates that landlords are exiting the market rather than acquiring new BTL properties in anticipation of new tax and regulatory burdens;

• BTL remortgage cases remain level over the year, accounting for 8.19% of all mortgage cases. Remortgage activity remains a larger proportion of mortgage cases compared to overall BTL cases, suggesting that existing landlords may be looking to optimise their finances through remortgage routes;

• The average Loan-to-Value of BTL & BTL Remortgage cases was 61.5% in September 2024.

A spokesperson for the company says: “We are seeing in real-time how landlords are responding to concerns about the  decisions being made around Capital Gains Tax and Energy Performance Certification regulations. They are being more conservative with their financing so as not to over leverage their positions and to increase liquidity. It’s likely that we’ll see this pattern continue after the Chancellor’s statement is made at the end of the month unless what’s actually in her budget is substantially different to what the market is already pricing in. 

These findings are based on analysis of mortgage cases managed through Acre’s intermediary platform and are based on cases keyed between September 2023 and October 2024.